# Exponential Smoothing

> Source: https://sukruyusufkaya.com/en/glossary/exponential-smoothing
> Updated: 2026-05-13T20:52:41.653Z
> Type: glossary
> Category: makine-ogrenmesi
**TLDR:** A time series method that assigns weighted importance to past observations and can model level, trend, and seasonality.

<p>Exponential smoothing methods produce forecasts by assigning greater weight to recent observations. Variants such as Holt and Holt-Winters allow trend and seasonality components to be incorporated into the model. They are widely used in practice because of their simplicity and strong short-term forecasting ability. However, in series with complex structural breaks, more advanced models may be required.</p>